Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
219 Texas Southern 100.0%   16   22 - 12 16 - 2 22 - 12 16 - 2 -3.0      -1.5 219 -1.5 219 65.3 196 +1.6 144 +0.8 1
274 Alabama St. 0.0%   17 - 10 14 - 4 17 - 10 14 - 4 -6.0      -3.0 274 -3.0 274 72.8 36 -6.1 274 -3.6 2
284 Southern 0.0%   15 - 17 13 - 5 15 - 17 13 - 5 -6.6      -3.3 284 -3.3 284 68.2 124 -6.8 285 -5.4 3
297 Prairie View 0.0%   14 - 18 12 - 6 14 - 18 12 - 6 -7.7      -3.9 297 -3.9 297 75.4 21 -7.3 292 -7.0 4
313 Jackson St. 0.0%   11 - 21 9 - 9 11 - 21 9 - 9 -9.3      -4.6 313 -4.6 313 65.3 195 -11.5 323 -11.6 6
325 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   12 - 20 9 - 9 12 - 20 9 - 9 -11.4      -5.7 325 -5.7 325 65.0 205 -9.9 315 -11.3 5
334 Alabama A&M 0.0%   8 - 20 8 - 10 8 - 20 8 - 10 -12.8      -6.4 334 -6.4 334 63.5 254 -14.0 339 -12.7 7
347 Alcorn St. 0.0%   5 - 25 4 - 14 5 - 25 4 - 14 -16.6      -8.3 347 -8.3 347 68.3 121 -19.9 348 -19.6 9
348 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   6 - 26 5 - 13 6 - 26 5 - 13 -17.9      -8.9 348 -8.9 348 79.9 5 -16.7 346 -17.2 8
351 Grambling St. 0.0%   0 - 27 0 - 18 0 - 27 0 - 18 -25.1      -12.5 351 -12.5 351 67.0 150 -31.9 351 -31.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 1.0 100.0
Alabama St. 2.0 100.0
Southern 3.0 100.0
Prairie View 4.0 100.0
Jackson St. 5.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 7.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 9.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 8.0 100.0
Grambling St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 16 - 2 100.0
Alabama St. 14 - 4 100.0
Southern 13 - 5 100.0
Prairie View 12 - 6 100.0
Jackson St. 9 - 9 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 - 9 100.0
Alabama A&M 8 - 10 100.0
Alcorn St. 4 - 14 100.0
Mississippi Valley 5 - 13 100.0
Grambling St. 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0
Alabama St.
Southern
Prairie View
Jackson St.
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Alabama A&M
Alcorn St.
Mississippi Valley
Grambling St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 2.0 36.1 61.9
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 100.0% 15.1% 90.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 90.8% 0.9 9.2 90.8
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0